Intelligence - Horse racing prediction

Another research on people who claimed to be expert at predicting which horse would finish in what position. The investigators sat with the participants to see how they reasoned about the horses: the kind of knowledge they used, how thoroughtly they surveyed and balanced the evidence, and so on.

One finding was that some of the handicappers proved much better at the enterprise tha others, even though all had had some 16 years of experience. Second, the handicappers' success was not predicted by IQ. Third, success did relate to the cocmplexity of the handicappers' cognition in the context of handicapping. The better handicappers composed judgements that explicity took into account more interaccting factors than did the less successful handicappers.